21 October 2009

Greenpeace: Optimists, Apologists, Opposition and Principled Action

Greenpeace has a new report out -- called Business as Usual (PDF) -- critical of the House and Senate approaches to climate policy now working their way through the Congress. I don't agree with everything in the report, but one point I strongly agree with is its highlighting of the prominent role given to coal:
There is probably no better indication of the persistence of business as usual than the fact that both the House and Senate climate legislation prioritize support for the primary industrial source of greenhouse gas. That’s right, the largest federal investment is to subsidize coal.

It was expected that climate legislation would support coal energy to make a transition to a future where its primacy as the source of electric power diminishes. But no one was prepared to see the enormous level of federal support in the bill aimed at an industry that employs fewer Americans than wind energy alone. It is beyond reason and integrity. It has led many to wonder whether the House bill might be more aptly named the American Coal Energy and Security Act, for embedded within it are generous subsidies and boondoggles that favor coal above all other energy sources.
Their discussion of offsets is both entertaining and on target:
It is as if a man with heart trouble and diabetes who weighs 360 pounds is encouraged by his doctor to pay someone else to go on a diet for him.

To be fair, the economic thinking behind offsets has a narrow theoretical validity. Since the atmosphere is one entity, it really does not matter precisely where or how CO2 emissions get reduced. So the rational thing to do is scour the planet for the cheapest opportunities to reduce CO2 emissions, or their equivalent. One problem with this approach is a moral one—it skirts complex issues of social justice—because it enables the wealthy nations to pay the poor ones to go on a carbon diet for them. It allows polluters to continue polluting by buying indulgences that clean the conscience more than the environment.

Another problem is that this approach avoids the practical reality that it has not been possible to generate real offsets in any meaningful quantity. The academic analyses of Michael Wara and the recent arrests in Europe over massive fraud in carbon trading provide ample concrete evidence for us to relinquish belief in workability of the offsetting theory.

The fact is that the allure of immense profits has mostly produced massive instances of cheating in the offset market, with the environment left to suffer the consequence. We are on the brink of witnessing the creation of another sub-prime bubble, a global trade in ostensibly halted CO2 emissions that in reality are in the atmosphere.

The fat patient will stay fat; the other man paid to go on a diet will do no such thing; and the doctor will walk away satisfied. It is a healthcare system for the environment that will be in need of reform the day it is created.

This is why the California legislature voted to strictly limit the use of offsets in the cap-and-trade program it is developing to regulate emissions of the state economy. The California economy by itself is the eighth largest in the world. By forcing polluters to take action in-state, legislators are keeping new green jobs at home and bringing associated health benefits of cleaner air to their own constituents.

It is unfortunate that the federal and international discussion of offsets is usually a jargon-laden affair, with experts talking about how to guard against “leakage” and assure “additionality.” These are euphemisms for the question—how do we make sure no one cheats. The jargon has assured that the general public has little access to the discussion. If it was conducted in plain English, we’d understand that the offsetting conversation is really about how to design a loophole to allow polluters to keep polluting—to continue with business as usual. Everyone already knows—wink, wink—that the cheating will continue because there is no practical way to stop it.

The number of offsets pending legislation authorized on an annual basis is truly astonishing: Two billion tons worth. That is equivalent to one quarter of annual US emissions—or the first 75 pounds of flesh our fat man would shed on a diet. That’s why many analyses conducted by both the EPA and EIA have shown that the offset provisions will mean that the US will not have to start reducing its own industrial emissions for almost another two decades. If that is not business as usual, nothing is.

When the number of allowable offsets was first revealed, in the climate community it had the impact of a punch below the belt, and it left everyone temporarily down for the count and sucking air. Some of us have yet to recover. Some have picked themselves up off the canvas and brushed off the low blow. Others have found ways to rationalize the offsets as necessary, even playing the role of apologist for bad policy.
Apologist for bad policy? I wonder who they might be thinking of? Greenpeace pulls no punches in its conclusion:
Optimists, Apologists, Opposition and Principled Action

After more than 20 years of effort and attention to the issue, America has never been closer to enacting climate legislation. The tantalizing prospect of having a climate law on the books has created a dangerous willingness to accommodate unacceptable compromise.

The legislative momentum of 2009 has prodded industry to spend tens of millions of dollars on lobbyists, hired to secure handouts and craft loopholes. Together with longstanding opponents of progressive climate and energy legislation, they have driven lawmakers to make such steep concessions in order to secure votes that pending legislation has become merely an extension of business as usual.

The optimists seem to believe that a price signal, no matter how weak or undermined by handouts and loopholes, will provide the impetus to help us get started to turn the corner on climate change. They point to the Clean Air Act and Social Security as federal measures that started out weak and grew effective over time.

It is attractive historical analogy that is in the end ultimately unpersuasive. Those national laws did not have embedded within them a simultaneous and greater strengthening of the very thing in need of correction. The Clean Air Act, for example, did not send hundreds of billions of dollars in handouts and loopholes to the very polluters it was trying to regulate. The pending legislation does.

Optimists argue, too, that we will likely never have a constellation of elected and appointed leaders in Congress, in the White House and in the federal agencies as sympathetic to climate action as we do now, so, despite its apparent flaws, the American Clean Energy and Security Act is the best we’re going to get.

Don’t let perfect be the enemy of the good, they say.

That is a good argument used to poor purpose. Rather, let us stand firm not to adopt legislation that locks in a permanent and endless fossil fuel future, let us insist that this constellation of great leaders be the enemy of impending catastrophe.

There are apologists who go a step further than the optimists. They argue suddenly that it doesn’t matter if you allocate carbon credits for free, rather than auction them; or that offsets might not be bad thing after all; or that the big bet we’re placing on technology to capture and bury carbon emissions will actually bring about the demise of coal as an energy source.

There is all manner of spinning—well-intentioned, disingenuous, self-serving—among supporters of climate action, and it has become almost impossible to separate political calculation from scientific necessity. There is even a belief that the Senate will improve the legislation and correct its fatal flaws in the months ahead. We are under no such illusions.

The Senate bill, now in play largely mimics the House bill, with lawmakers in the Senate poised to make a fresh round of fresh handouts—to the nuclear power industry, the oil industry and agribusiness interests.

Despite talk of raising the bar, the reality is that Congress will further weaken the bill before it has concluded its business.

Many supporters of climate action find themselves forced to grasp a flimsy hope—that we just need to get something started—anything—and strengthen it later. And so we witness the cheerleading to which we cannot lend our voice.

Politics as usual will only produce its corollary, business as usual. Corporate special interests are still dictating United States’ global warming policy, slowing the pace of our nation’s ambition at every turn, and creating a dead weight on international cooperation to solve the climate crisis.
We see the only hope of global climate remedy to be active and principled engagement from the Oval Office. The world is waiting.
Ouch. Kudos to Greenpeace for an interesting and well-written report.

10 comments:

Roger said...

I zgree that this is interesting and amazingly for me I actually agree with some of it.

However, I find it hard to swallow the claim that coal employs less people than wind energy alone. Can anyone direct me to where that comes from. Seriously if you only count the number of coal miners against the number of people who are in the wind energy business then maybe it is correct. However, if you count the people who move the coal (I don't know how many people realize that coal has subsidized railroads for over a century and if coal goes away many railroads will also fold) and run the coal-fired power plants I cannot believe it even comes close.

Roger Pielke, Jr. said...

-1-Roger

I think the answer can be found here:

http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/someone-please-explain-this-4972

Roger said...

Roger P

That helped but I did some research on my own.

According to the two following references the total number of people in the wind sector and the total number of people employed mining coal was about the same. When you include the people directly employed moving the coal (think unit coal trains) and the people in coal-fired power plants it is clear that the Greenpeace claim about jobs is a stretch.

What’s more, AWEA estimates that growth in the sector created 35,000 new jobs during 2008, increasing the total employment in the sector in the US to 85,000 up from 50,000 in 2007. (http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/news/article/2009/04/working-with-the-wind-growing-employment-in-the-european-and-us-wind-power-sectors#)

Average Number of Employees at Underground and Surface Mines by State and Mine Production Range, 2008, Report No: DOE/EIA 0584 (2008), Table 19 states that the total number of people employed at coal mines was 86,859. (http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/coal/page/acr/table19.html)

SBVOR said...

Welcome to “Business as Usual” in Washington D.C.! WHAT did you expect?

CCS is a pipe dream. Everybody knows it. But, everybody also knows that we will continue using coal to generate electricity.

So, CCS is a corrupt politician’s wet dream -- a (likely) unachievable goal to throw stolen money at for DECADES if not CENTURIES -- with tons of money flowing in both directions.

CCS is an even BETTER money pit than Ethanol!

The worst of it is that -- in the extremely unlikely event that the CCS goal is EVER achieved -- it will NOT alter the course of climate change ONE WHIT!

And so, the beat (of corruption) goes on.

Click here for some real environmental science on coal.

Click here for the basic “inconvenient truths” on climate change.

Attempting to micromanage global temperatures is the height of folly, arrogance, ignorance and hubris. It is also an open invitation to fraud and corruption on a scale never before seen in the entire history of humanity.

BEND OVER! Here it comes!

SBVOR said...

P.S.) I’m pretty sure that Greenpeace would have been perfectly happy to sodomize the American tax payers -- with NOT ON WHIT of impact on climate change -- so long as their pals who tilt at windmills were the ones who received the largest amounts of graft.

After all, just like the WWF, Greenpeace is raking in the cash on this climate hysteria too.

Like the man said…
“Follow the money!”

Eric144 said...

Enron: The Godfather of Kyoto (nemesis of coal)

In addition, Enron began to cultivate new friends in the environmental community. From 1994 to 1996, the Enron Foundation gave nearly $1 million to the Nature Conservancy, whose Climate Change Project promoted global warming theories. Another $1.5 million was donated to other groups advocating international controls to curb global warming, including Greenpeace.

In 1997, Enron set about to promote an international treaty to impose cuts in CO2 emissions while allowing emission rights trading. Such an agreement would produce a gigantic windfall for Enron because it would boost the usage of natural gas at the expense of coal and it would help Enron’s growing commodity trading business.

As the push for a treaty gained more support around the world, Enron CEO Ken Lay and other business leaders wrote to President Bill Clinton on September 1, 1998, asking him to create a bipartisan blue ribbon commission that would essentially shut off the scientific debate on global warming and discredit those scientists who opposed the treaty and did not support the global warming theory.

Simultaneously, Enron commissioned an internal study of global warming science, only to find the results did not support the theory. In conclusion, the report noted, “The very real possibility is that the great climate alarm could be a false alarm. The anthropogenic warming could well be less than thought and favorably distributed.”

A primary consultant for that study was NASA scientist James Hansen, the very same scientist who now castigates the Bush administration for its stance on Kyoto and who trashes scientists who dispute global warming as being in the hip pocket of big business. That certainly did not keep Mr. Hansen from cashing Enron’s check.

Ring’s investigation, as reported in Investigate magazine, notes that “…coal-burning utilities would have had to pay billions for permits because they emit more CO2 than do natural gas facilities. That would have encouraged closing coal plants in favor of natural gas or other kinds of power plants, driving up prices for those alternatives. Enron, along with other key energy companies in the so-called Clean Power Group – El Paso Corp., NiSource, Trigen Energy, and Calpine – would make money both coming and going from selling permits and then their own energy at higher prices.”


http://www.theforgottenstreet.com/index.php?action=website-view&WebPageID=15046&WebSiteID=444

jgdes said...

SBVOR
You mean future taxpayers don't you? So far the credit card is still funding everything.

I wonder if Greenpeace could manage to so trenchantly criticize their own proposals. Now that report I'd like to see.

heiderstadt said...

Your post and analogy of the fat man gives us all something to ponder...

With a significant portion of the world, commonly referred to as the third world, where electricity is either erratic or non-existent, the scheme by which the industrialized countries, that is the ones with electricity, would pay to keep the "third world" the third world, is immoral. The only ethical thing to do, assuming that the warming of the past century is primarily man-made, would be to set a hard limit to emissions. Personally, I don't believe the warming of the last century is primarily man-made, but to cause people in poverty to remain in poverty for the benefit of the (relatively) wealthy, strikes me as immoral. As I see it, two solutions exist; elevate the remainder of the "third world" to standards in the industrialized nations, and deal with the consequences, not all of which would be bad, or set hard limits on the industrialized nations, so that the entire world will be the "third world."

Wind and solar technologies won't provide more than a small fraction of power for the industrialized nations any time into the forseeable future, plus they need a stable backup power source, and nuclear is fought to the point of stagnation. What are the other alternatives?

Stan said...

Greenpeace -- The country is really close to passing a climate bill except Congress won't pass it without lots and lots of added crap that totally emasculates the bill.

Ummmm. Maybe that should tell us that the country isn't really close to passing a genuine climate bill.

Eric144 said...

Sincere apologies for repeating this. I realised my previous post had a non mainstream source. The links between Enron, Kyoto and Greenpeace are too important to ignore.


Enron and Kyoto - Washington Post


On Aug. 4, 1997, Lay and seven other energy executives met with Clinton, Gore, Rubin and other top officials at the White House to discuss the U.S. position at the upcoming conference on global warming in Kyoto, Japan. Lay, in a memo to Enron employees, said there was broad consensus in favor of an emissions-trading system.

Enron officials later expressed elation at the results of the Kyoto conference. An internal memo said the Kyoto agreement, if implemented, would "do more to promote Enron's business than almost any other regulatory initiative outside of restructuring the energy and natural gas industries in Europe and the United States."

http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/wp-dyn?pagename=article&node=&contentId=A37287-2002Jan12&notFound=true



Money and Kyoto Protocol are the real Enron story

So Enron philanthropists lavished almost $1.5 million on environmental groups that support international energy controls to reduce so-called global warming. From 1994 to 1996, the Enron Foundation contributed nearly $1 million dollars - $990,000 - to the Nature Conservancy, whose "Climate Change" project promotes global warming theories.

http://archive.columbiatribune.com/2002/Feb/20020226Comm007.asp

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.