16 October 2009

What Will Happen at Copenhagen

UPDATE: You can listen to the column read (not by me!) here as mp3.

In my latest Bridges column I read the climate tea leaves to give my best guess as to what we should expect. Here is an excerpt:
Even with all the policy complexity and political noise, it has not been difficult for anyone paying attention to realize that climate policies are in deep trouble. So what has been the primary response of governments? The tried-and-true strategy is to identify an enemy and focus attention on anything but the failing climate policies. In this case, the enemies identified by the rich, Western countries are India and China, with their huge populations, rapid economic growth, and increasing carbon footprints to match. Repeating a refrain heard in 1997 during negotiations that resulted in the largely ineffectual Kyoto Protocol, we again hear that without action from India and China, the climate policies of the developed countries will all be for naught.
Please have a look, comments welcomed.


  1. Dr. Pielke,

    As power hungry (pun intended) politicians prepare to gather in Copenhagen, I suppose this is as good a time as any to:

    1) Once again question the most basic assumptions driving the power hungry politicians.

    2) Respectfully (and I mean that) ask if you have yet honored the promise you made on 7/31/09.

    If you are not yet ready to describe why you favor government intervention to reduce CO2 emissions, perhaps you could -- preferably using, as I do, directly cited peer reviewed science -- show me the flaws in the brief overview of my own analysis.


  2. The conference in Copenhagen is likely to be a very important one historically. This might well be our last chance to turn things around.


  3. Canada Guy,

    If you want me to convert to your religion, you can start by refuting ANY PORTION of my brief overview which debunks your climate change hysteria.

  4. I certainly hope the countries of the world do not sign on to this - whether because they hope for money and an illusion of 'dignity' - or because they feel they owe a 'climate debt' (even though the treaty has far more redistribution of wealth in it than provisions dealing with actual emissions) I would prefer the madness to end before my country gives itself away.


  5. -4-Amonite,

    The Financial Post has an interesting article on the wealth redistribution angle.

    My personal opinion is that the entire global warming hysteria is -- and always has been -- ONLY about:

    1) Promoting world Socialism by way of nationalizing the “Commanding Heights” of the world economies.

    It is NO coincidence that Socialist International member Carol Browner was named Obama’s Energy and Climate Change Czar.

    2) Promoting a worldwide Socialist wealth redistribution scheme.

    This is NOT about real science and NEVER HAS BEEN!

  6. Thank goodness for this:

    “President Obama is 'leaning toward not going' to the U.N. climate change conference in Copenhagen, Denmark…

    On big reason… is… because of the slow progress of climate change legislation in the U.S. Senate. Absent Senate passage of a climate change bill mandating a cap-and-trade system, Obama will have nothing to bring to Copenhagen as part of a U.S.-led effort to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, a factor likely to undermine global efforts to curb those emissions.”